Tuesday, July 12, 2005

How They Did It (Part II)

I was surprised to find my post mentions at Belmont Club. It is an honor to be mentioned by Richard – one of the most insightful analysts on the Global War on Terrorism. But apparently my theory had flaw. But considering how little information I had, it was very close. I theorized that the terrorists left behind the bombs and escaped. According to BBC and MSNBC, all four bombers died. Both sources (as well as Sky News and the Economist) reported on six raids on six houses by law enforcement were and there were arrests (the number is unknown at this time). I believe that they are looking for the safe-house that housed the attackers and the explosive. My guess is that there is no more explosive, but trace of its can be found in the safe-house, as well as other bomb building material. If the safe-house can be found; it will be a break through in the case. Who paid for the house (whether rent or own) would lead polices to terrorist supporting network and facilitators.

Here is the sequence of event by BBC. Quoting the BBC “1638 Counter-terrorist officers tell the BBC they believe all four of the bomb suspects are British born…” which confirms my theory that it was done by Londoners. If the attacks were suicide, the question is why. It is illogical – in the tactical sense. They could have done the operation without sacrificing anyone. And whatever remain of the dead terrorist become clue to which law enforcement can identify the network. Obviously, the dead bomber on the bus led law enforcement to the houses.

The fact is that the suicide provided no tactical advantage. They have may have been done for propaganda purpose. It was done to inspire Islamists worldwide – to show that even Muslims who live and born in the decadent west can sacrifice their lives. That the infidels were so evils that even Muslim in the West rose against them.


Blogger Mr. Completely said...

Congratulations on the Belmont link! Of course, your post was linked to by Mr. Completely first......

You don't suppose the Belmont folks are secret readers of Mr. Completely, do you?

All kidding aside, that was an outstanding post, and you deserve the recognition!!

10:40 AM  
Blogger jp said...

excellent analysis. It now seems that the bombers have perished, and police have additionally found explosives in the cars and houses, it seems also clear that there must be a large stay-behind force to gather up the left over explosives, no?
Also, what political reaction do you expect from the people? Massive support for expelling extremist clerics like the French have done? Stronger anti-terror laws? Perhaps extra pressure on Musharraf, as the bombers are identified as Pakistani?
Interested in your thoughts.


8:53 PM  
Blogger Hanba'al said...

Suicidal bombers can't talk.

10:16 AM  
Blogger Dymphna said...

Minh Duc--

Baron Bodissey sent Wretchard a link to you... and was real pleased that he responded by immediately using excerpts from your blog on his very next post...we hope he'll be looking at your analyses from now on.

BTW, we've sent him things before, from others, which for one reason or another didn't catch his eye. But *you* did. I told you that you are smart!

BTW, when you decide to write your book of adventures, let me know; I'm a very good editor.

You're right: Wretchard is special.

12:50 PM  
Blogger MaxedOutMama said...

Well, theologically speaking, it got them immediate access to paradise and 72 virgins.

As a practical matter, once they were dead it effectively stopped the police from putting their families through a wringer, so I suspect they saw it as a protective measure.

From the point of view of the mastermind, it was protecting his butt.

I find it very interesting that the BBC has persistently reported that only one of the families reported their son missing. This may be untrue, but if it is true, it is surely significant.

8:59 AM  

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